Any professors or grad students or PhD’s out there who want to take on Tm Wse and company? They explain away interracial crime rates with Encounter Theory.
Before you read the summary posted below, I’m pretty sure I have the idea that will debunk this. The idea of the article is that you can predict who will commit crimes against whom by how often they encounter other people. Because there are more whites than blacks, blacks encounter many more whites, than vice versa, and that’s why blacks commit more crimes against whites than vice versa.
But there are three elements to a crime — Means, Motive and Opportunity. Encounter Theory only looks at Opportunity, and posits that if I meet enough people, I’m eventually going to attack one of them. It makes us nothing but Probability Machines, bouncing around until we encounter enough people, and then BAM, we attack. I’d call it something like “Robert O’Brien’s Slot Machine Theory of Interracial Violent Crime.”