Looking for someone who can write peer reviewed articles to debunk Encounter Theory, which the liberals use to explain away disproportionate interracial crime

Any professors or grad students or PhD’s out there who want to take on Tm Wse and company? They explain away interracial crime rates with Encounter Theory.

Before you read the summary posted below, I’m pretty sure I have the idea that will debunk this. The idea of the article is that you can predict who will commit crimes against whom by how often they encounter other people. Because there are more whites than blacks, blacks encounter many more whites, than vice versa, and that’s why blacks commit more crimes against whites than vice versa.

But there are three elements to a crime — Means, Motive and Opportunity. Encounter Theory only looks at Opportunity, and posits that if I meet enough people, I’m eventually going to attack one of them. It makes us nothing but Probability Machines, bouncing around until we encounter enough people, and then BAM, we attack. I’d call it something like “Robert O’Brien’s Slot Machine Theory of Interracial Violent Crime.”

Advertisements

About mindweapon

A mind weapon riding along with Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.https://en.gravatar.com/profiles/edit/#
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

22 Responses to Looking for someone who can write peer reviewed articles to debunk Encounter Theory, which the liberals use to explain away disproportionate interracial crime

    • mindweapon says:

      Derbyshire has a great sense of humor!

      By John Derbyshire on August 29, 2013
      A friend passed this on to me: It’s an August 25th posting by “antiracist essayist, author, and educator” Tim Wise. Nazis Can’t Do Math, chortles the heading.

      My immediate reaction was: “Say what?” There were many fine Nazi mathematicians, as any reader of my book Prime Obsession could tell you. I mention two such: Oswald Teichmüller and Ludwig Bieberbach.

  1. Robot Sam says:

    Liberals always need to come up with a new theory to fight against the reality that blacks are savage sub-humans. Liberals are always bashing Christians as if they are all anti-evolution, and anti-science, bu they are the ones who will not allow empirical data to speak for itself in racial matters. Look at Brittany Norwood; negro murderer of Lululemon co-worker Jayna Murray.

    http://www.wtop.com/41/3363624/New-book-Lululemon-murderer-was-likely-a-prostitute

    The retarded orc prostitute cum retail worker (Norwood) savagely attacked the woman who found out she was stealing things from the store and other employees. Not only was the negress a thief, which is S.O.P. for these creatures, she was also only 30 seconds away from the dark jungle nature.

    ‘I’ve never seen such a savage killing’: Judge sentences woman, 29, to life for stabbing Yoga store colleague 331 times with six different weapons

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2092974/Ive-seen-savage-killing-Judge-jails-yoga-store-worker-inflicted-331-wounds-different-jail-life.html#ixzz34KzsUIvR

    And we have our hands held from stopping white girls from endangering themselves with black savagery. The world is mad.

  2. Anders says:

    The easiest, most straight-forward means of debunking said theory would be to obtain perpetrator/victim crime statistics, whether from the FBI or from individual police departments, for either majority or substantially black cities.

    If in, say, the city of New Orleans–whose white share of the population, as of 2010, was approximately one-third–white victims were to report having been victimized by black perps at a rate greater than 33%, “encounter theory” would fall completely apart, as black criminals would be statistically more likely to encounter a black potential victim while nonetheless victimizing whites at a rate greater than the latter group’s share of the population.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._communities_with_African-American_majority_populations_in_2000

  3. FD says:

    They’re using pre-CRA stats. No lenient sentencing, no safety in numbers within integrated prisons, and solidarity for private vengeance if the courts do not do their jobs.

  4. Tom says:

    I think a great avenue would be to explore differences in aggravating factors
    Ie racial differences in home invasion in whether or not it is accompanied by a sexual or aggravated physical assault. If when commiting a property crime is there a greatly increased desire to further abuse the victim, then I think you have the foundation of showing a real animus that goes beyond simple greater crime rate. Also maybe compare the victimization rates of poor whites in poor non white neighbourhoods. If they are getting it worse… then you have something there as well. There may be other methodologies, but these seem the most straight forward, easiest to understand and possibly could be the most damning.

    • fellist says:

      Yggdrasil’s ‘Objective Measures of Racism’ is a classic:

      An assault is an incident in which someone comes up and punches or kicks you, just to humiliate and frighten you. Economic gain is not a motive. It is the quintessential “hate crime” … 11% of all assaults or about 580,000 are by blacks against fellow blacks. 15% of all assaults or about 795,000 are by blacks against white victims. 71% of all assaults are committed by whites, but only 2% of all assaults, or 106,000, were committed by whites on black victims.

      Thus, while blacks commit 2.7 times the number of assaults as whites per capita, [they] are fully 7.5 times as many assaults by blacks on whites as by whites on blacks. It is 49.7 times more likely that any randomly selected black has assaulted a white, than that any randomly selected white has assaulted a black. /endquote

      http://www.whitenationalism.com/ls/ls-08.htm

      +750% is a big, impressive stat.

  5. hardscrabble farmer says:

    The obvious answer is to point to the disparity in female/male ratios as both victim and perp, unless Tim Wise is advocating misogyny and making a claim that men and women aren’t equal.

    Women make up over half the population, therefore if encounter theory is correct, they would also make up more than half of all victims and perpetrators. Unless you are saying that women and men aren’t equal, is that what you’re saying Mr. Wise? That women aren’t as good as men? That men are somehow better than women even though the science has been settled? Why do you hate women Mr. Wise? Would you prefer that they be barefoot, pregnant and back in the kitchen where you want them, Mr. Wise? Are you trying to oppress women with your patriarchal statistics?

  6. Mr. Rational says:

    Debunking “encounter theory” is trivial:

    Every Black/White encounter has Blacks and Whites.  If propensity to crime was equal, the Whites would rob/assault/murder Blacks as frequently as the reverse.  This is not the case, therefore the differential comes from different propensities to commit crime.

    • mindweapon says:

      Mr Rational,

      No, it’s not that trivial. Your average black encounters more whites than vice versa. That’s the basis of encounter theory.

      I’m pretty sure it’s debunked because it treats us as slot machines. Human decision making about whether or not to commit violent crime is unlikely to be best explained by probability, other than the probability of .0001%, of the infinitesimally small, which might as well be zero.

      • Mr. Rational says:

        No, MW, the absolute number of Black-on-White crimes is higher than White-on-Black.  Since every inter-racial encounter has both, the Black propensity to crime has to be higher—MUCH higher.

        Arithmetic:  Assume a population that’s 20% Black, 80% White.  Assume each race has an equal probability of interacting with any individual, so 80% of all interactions are with Whites, 20% with Blacks.  In 1000 interactions, that will fall out as 640 White/White encounters, 40 Black/Black encounters, and 320 Black/White encounters.

        If each race had a 10% chance of committing a crime at random during a meeting, there would be 32 crimes by Whites on Blacks and an equal 32 crimes by Blacks on Whites.  That is NOT what we see; the Black-on-White numbers are vastly higher.

      • Anon says:

        “Your average black encounters more whites than vice versa. That’s the basis of encounter theory” – every black that encounters a white, has on the converse of it a white that encounters a black, that is the sleight of hand here, that there are so many opportunities for black on white crime, but every single one is also an opportunity for white on black crime.

      • mindweapon says:

        Anon,

        But there are 4 or 5 times more whites than blacks. That’s why the first statement is true.

      • Anon says:

        “But there are 4 or 5 times more whites than blacks. That’s why the first statement is true.” – back to Mr. Rational’s example, there are 320 W/B encounters. these come from two sources, the White population of 800’s chance of meeting a black( 800 * 0.2 = 160), and the black population of 200’s chance of meeting a white( 200 * 0.8 = 160).

  7. PA says:

    Throw in the fact that whites self-segregate from blacks rather than randomly distributing themselves among them — in other words, all whites avoid blacks to the extent practical. This fact diminishes the significance of Opportunity.

  8. Nick Dean says:

    If you summarize the article correctly, “you can predict who will commit crimes against whom by how often they encounter other people,” then Black/White interracial crime should split 50/50 absent other influences.

  9. Anon says:

    the encounter hypothesis, theories are supported by bodies of facts. And even then not even a hypothesis, those are atleast educated guesses. This is just tripe.

    “If each race had a 10% chance of committing a crime at random during a meeting, there would be 32 crimes by Whites on Blacks and an equal 32 crimes by Blacks on Whites. That is NOT what we see; the Black-on-White numbers are vastly higher.” – and the white crime rate would dwarf the black crime rate as well.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s